Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.002269 0.002397 0.002533 0.002689 0.002864 0.003055 0.003282
2025-03-23 0.002094 0.002274 0.002474 0.002719 0.003012 0.003358 0.003808
2025-03-30 0.001941 0.002147 0.002386 0.002689 0.003073 0.003556 0.004235
2025-04-06 0.001804 0.002021 0.002279 0.002618 0.003063 0.003652 0.004539
2025-04-13 0.001711 0.001938 0.002213 0.002585 0.003092 0.003795 0.004927
2025-04-20 0.001589 0.001810 0.002081 0.002453 0.002969 0.003705 0.004936
2025-04-27 0.001537 0.001765 0.002051 0.002450 0.003022 0.003872 0.005392
2025-05-04 0.001517 0.001758 0.002067 0.002509 0.003167 0.004198 0.006212
2025-05-11 0.001476 0.001722 0.002042 0.002508 0.003220 0.004383 0.006824
2025-05-18 0.001465 0.001724 0.002067 0.002579 0.003392 0.004797 0.008094
2025-05-25 0.001425 0.001686 0.002034 0.002562 0.003419 0.004954 0.008836
2025-06-01 0.001375 0.001631 0.001974 0.002500 0.003365 0.004948 0.009141
2025-06-08 0.001356 0.001620 0.001980 0.002543 0.003499 0.005356 0.010990
2025-06-15 0.001335 0.001605 0.001978 0.002575 0.003620 0.005774 0.013391
2025-06-22 0.001299 0.001568 0.001943 0.002549 0.003635 0.005959 0.015163
2025-06-29 0.001255 0.001518 0.001886 0.002485 0.003570 0.005941 0.015974
2025-07-06 0.001224 0.001484 0.001852 0.002456 0.003569 0.006080 0.017964
2025-07-13 0.001169 0.001417 0.001765 0.002336 0.003380 0.005710 0.016299
2025-07-20 0.001149 0.001397 0.001749 0.002333 0.003423 0.005957 0.019296
2025-07-27 0.001145 0.001400 0.001767 0.002387 0.003585 0.006573 0.028087
2025-08-03 0.001127 0.001383 0.001753 0.002386 0.003634 0.006883 0.036745
2025-08-10 0.001125 0.001390 0.001776 0.002451 0.003832 0.007751 0.081472
2025-08-17 0.001106 0.001368 0.001755 0.002436 0.003850 0.008018 0.143445